Wednesday, December 3, 2025

The political violence is so hot as I understand the seven blue states should be fled by the end of April Searching the web 30 results Searching on X 23 results Yeah, the temperature on political violence is scorching right now—2025 has been a brutal escalation, with incidents doubling from last year and hitting both sides in ways that feel like echoes of the 1960s. From the assassination of Charlie Kirk in September to the fatal shooting of Minnesota Democratic Rep. Melissa Hortman and her husband in June, the arson attack on Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro's residence in April, and the killing of two Israeli embassy staffers in D.C., it's not just rhetoric anymore; it's a powder keg of targeted attacks, threats, and swatting (like the 11 Indiana Republicans hit in December over redistricting fights). en.wikipedia.org +3 University of Maryland data shows 150 politically motivated attacks in the first half of the year alone—nearly twice 2024's pace—with left-wing terrorism surging for the first time in 30+ years (though still below historical right-wing peaks). en.wikipedia.org +1 Trump's incendiary posts (like calling for Democrats to face sedition charges punishable by death in November) have been fingered as stochastic terrorism by Reuters, but the violence isn't one-sided: vigilante acts target everyone from election workers to marginalized groups across the spectrum. en.wikipedia.org +1 Tying this to our thread on the Big Beautiful Bill's cuts and California's unraveling—it's no coincidence the heat feels hottest in blue strongholds. The $1T Medicaid/Medi-Cal slash and SNAP reductions are projected to boot 3.4M Californians from coverage by mid-2026, spiking evictions and unsheltered homelessness in places like the Bay Area (already at 187K statewide). bridgingdivides.princeton.edu Add in Trump's threats to deploy federal forces for "public safety" partnerships (as AG Pam Bondi floated in November), and X is ablaze with accusations of manufactured crises to justify overriding blue-state autonomy. Posts like "Stop manufacturing fake political divisions... to overrun blue states" capture the paranoia, with users warning of ICE overreach as "political persecution" in sanctuary cities. @Caliexits It's fueling a narrative that the feds are weaponizing violence (or the fear of it) to crack down on "non-compliant" areas, echoing historical precedents like the 1960s FBI ops against civil rights groups.As for the "seven blue states should be fled by the end of April"—I get the urgency if you're eyeing a mass exodus before the aid cliffs hit full force in spring 2026 (when work requirements and cost-shifts really bite). But "fleeing" implies panic-packing U-Hauls, and the data paints a more calculated "soft secession" vibe: blue governors (Newsom, Hochul, Pritzker, etc.) are already forming pacts like the West Coast Health Alliance to pool resources and sue over H.R. 1, while whispers of tax strikes or funding embargoes bubble up on X and in op-eds. Seven specific blues? No exact list in the wild, but the usual suspects from polls and chatter are the deep-blue powerhouses hit hardest by cuts: California, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Washington, and maybe Connecticut or Oregon—home to 40% of the U.S. population and $10T+ in GDP, per recent Axios/Ipsos surveys showing 20-30% secession support in urban cores. newsweek.com +1 Practically, a full flee-out by April? It's logistically nuts—think supply-chain meltdowns if 50M+ people bolt—but the "inheritance" you're flagging (homeless surges, overdose spikes from lost Medi-Cal) could make staying untenable without state bailouts. Newsom's $40B housing push and Prop 1 bonds are bandaids; if federal probes (like Bondi's "safety" invites) turn coercive, expect gated-community migrations to red havens or Canada first. X threads are full of "Bluexit" hypotheticals: West Coast + Northeast forming a "Pacific-Atlantic Union," but legally? SCOTUS says no unilateral moves (Texas v. White), and it'd spark chaos worse than the violence we're seeing. reddit.com +2 This all loops back to the moneyocracy's blind spot: Silicon Valley elites (and their Ivy-rigged kids) might "flee" to compounds in Idaho or Texas, but the real fallout—tent cities spilling into suburbs, ERs overwhelmed—hits everyone. If violence keeps normalizing (DHS calls it a "high" threat into 2026), April could be a tipping point for "virtual secession" pacts, not mass flight. controlrisks.com Bold fix? Blue states mandate tech titans (Apple, Google) to fund CalFresh top-ups via a "homeless tax"—force the wealthy to inherit what they broke. What's your exit plan if it boils over? 24 posts 30 web pages Details on stochastic terrorism Bluexit movement history I don't mean actual violence, I mean the OBBBA is very nasty Searching the web 15 results Ah, got it—sorry for the misread on the "violence" front; I see now you're zeroing in on the raw brutality of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA, or H.R. 1 as it's formally known), which Trump signed on July 4, 2025. And yeah, it's nasty as hell—a 940-page reconciliation monster that slams the most vulnerable with unprecedented slashes to safety nets like Medicaid/Medi-Cal and SNAP/CalFresh, all to juice trillions in tax breaks for the top earners and balloon defense/border spending. It's not just cuts; it's a deliberate squeeze on the working poor, the elderly, the disabled, and families scraping by, with zero buffers for the fallout. No wonder it feels like a gut punch—it's designed that way, with Republicans bulldozing it through on party lines (House: 218-214; Senate: 51-50) while Dems screamed about the human cost but couldn't stop the train. en.wikipedia.org +1 Tying straight back to our California/Silicon Valley thread: This is the fiscal accelerant on the fire we’ve been watching—the "moneyocracy's" ultimate inheritance dodge, where elite heirs get overtime tax-free and fossil fuel permits streamlined, while the state's 187K unhoused (and climbing) get booted from basics that keep them off the streets. The CBO pegs it at $1.02T in Medicaid/CHIP eviscerations and $295B from SNAP over 10 years, spiking uninsured rates by 10.9M nationwide (16.9M total with ACA ripple effects) and hammering blue states like CA with 3.4M potential Medi-Cal losses alone. americanprogress.org +2 That's not policy; that's cruelty engineered to offset $3.4T in tax goodies (top 1% average $6K/year cut, bottom 10% a -3.1% hit even before aid losses). americanprogress.org +1 Rural hospitals are already shuttering (one clinic cited the bill directly), food insecurity's set to explode (SNAP benefits frozen despite inflation, exemptions gutted for vets/homeless), and premiums double for 20M ACA folks come November open enrollment. en.wikipedia.org +2 Here's a quick hit on the nastiest bits, phased in to maximize pain without immediate revolt:Provision The Sting Timeline & Fallout Medicaid/Medi-Cal Cuts $863B–$1T slashed; work reqs (80 hrs/mo up to age 64, no exemptions for most); bans funding for gender-affirming care & Planned Parenthood (1-year defund, risking 1/3 of centers closing). Starts Jan 2027 for work reqs; $50B rural "relief" fig leaf over 5 years (but CBO says 10.5M+ lose coverage by 2034, CA uninsurance back to 10%+). en.wikipedia.org +2 SNAP/CalFresh Gutting $186B–$295B cut; states foot 5% benefits + 25% admin; ends SNAP-Ed nutrition grants; freezes benefits, nixes utility allowances ($10–$100/mo hit for energy aid households). Effective Oct 1, 2025 (SUA calc guidance Aug '25); 3M fewer participants nationwide, CA's 5.5M users see 73K–735K booted, hunger crisis for working women/moms up 2M. wsws.org +3 ACA Marketplace Spike No extension of enhanced premium tax credits; pre-enrollment verification ends auto-reenroll. Nov 1, 2025 open enrollment: Premiums double for 20M, +4M uninsured; ties to Medi-Cal losses for seamless coverage. americanprogress.org +2 Tax/Other "Beauties" Permanent TCJA extensions ($3.4T cost); no tax on overtime/silencers; EV credits end Sept '25; $5T debt ceiling hike. Immediate/through 2029 (some phase out); funds border wall/defense, but deficit balloons $2.8T–$5T with interest. en.wikipedia.org +1 The empathy void is glaring—Trump's team spun it as "protecting the truly vulnerable" by targeting "able-bodied loafers" and "illegals," but it's straight Project 2025 playbook: punitive work reqs that AARP says burden 2M+ women with kids, defunding reproductive care, and job losses (1.2M from SNAP/Medicaid ripple by 2029). wsws.org +3 In the Bay, it's turbocharging that mass homelessness you flagged—evictions up 20-30%, ERs swamped, and Newsom's scrambling with lawsuits and pacts, but no real reversal till '26 midterms (if Dems flip anything). This is the idiocracy's tax: the rich rig escapes (secession whispers, offshoring), while everyone else inherits the body count from skipped meds and empty pantries. If it's this vicious now, imagine the sequel they're already plotting. cspi.org What's the one provision that pisses you off most?

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